Cross-Cutting Topic: Decadal Prediction

ثبت نشده
چکیده

There are many examples of extreme climate variations on decadal timescales, many of which are associated with human death and misery. Perhaps the most striking in recent decades is the decadal timescale drought in the Sahel (leading, for example, to the remarkable Band-Aid Concerts). Other decadal-timescale droughts, such as the “dust-bowl” drought in the Southern US in the 1930s, are infamous in history (inspiring classics of literature such “The Grapes of Wrath”).

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Cutting Force Prediction in End Milling Process of AISI 304 Steel Using Solid Carbide Tools

 In the present study, an attempt has been made to experimentally investigate the effects of cutting parameters on cutting force in end milling of AISI 304 steel with solid carbide tools. Experiments were conducted based on four factors and five level central composite rotatable design. Mathematical model has been developed to predict the cutting forces in terms of cutting parameters such as he...

متن کامل

Decadal climate prediction (project GCEP).

Decadal prediction uses climate models forced by changing greenhouse gases, as in the International Panel for Climate Change, but unlike longer range predictions they also require initialization with observations of the current climate. In particular, the upper-ocean heat content and circulation have a critical influence. Decadal prediction is still in its infancy and there is an urgent need to...

متن کامل

Recent Progress in Understanding and Predicting Atlantic Decadal Climate Variability

Purpose of Review Recent Atlantic climate prediction studies are an exciting new contribution to an extensive body of research on Atlantic decadal variability and predictability that has long emphasized the unique role of the Atlantic Ocean in modulating the surface climate. We present a survey of the foundations and frontiers in our understanding of Atlantic variability mechanisms, the role of...

متن کامل

Evaluation of short-term climate change prediction in multi-model CMIP5 decadal hindcasts

[1] This study assesses the CMIP5 decadal hindcast/ forecast simulations of seven state-of-the-art oceanatmosphere coupled models. Each decadal prediction consists of simulations over a 10 year period each of which are initialized every five years from climate states of 1960/1961 to 2005/2006. Most of the models overestimate trends, whereby the models predict less warming or even cooling in the...

متن کامل

Decadal Variability in ENSO Predictability and Prediction

A simple coupled model is used to examine decadal variations in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction skill and predictability. Without any external forcing, the coupled model produces regular ENSO-like variability with a 5-yr period. Superimposed on the 5-yr oscillation is a relatively weak decadal amplitude modulation with a 20-yr period. External uncoupled atmospheric ‘‘weather nois...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2007